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Originally Posted by lakdod Larry in my opinion should of at least started every game after the Bakersfield game. I think the main reason why he did not start is that he was afraid to shoot the wide open shot from 3 or long range jumper. It drove me crazy he never took that shot.
I guess we do not agree about if the Broncos won against Dominguez they would be in.
In my opinion te final rankings will be
1. Seattle Pacific
2. W. Washington
3. Chaminade
4. Sonoma St
5. Humbolt
6. Bakersfield
7. anchorage
8. Fairbanks
9. C Washington
10. Seattle |
what our men did was take a HUGE load off of the selection committee. while on the face of it your analysis above makes sense, there are other issues that frequently come to bear:
1. almost never in the history of this poll has a team which goes unbeaten in the final week been knocked out of the seedings if ranked the previous Wednesday.
2. almost never in the history of this poll has a team come from nowhere in the top ten to get a seeding.
3. almost always is the largest conference in the region, the CCAA, granted at least three teams in the dance. sometimes the number is four. This will be an extremely unusual year when the GNAC nails five slots.
4. if things are close with respect to items 1-3 above deference is given, if applicable, to a defending regional champion, in this case the Broncos.
for these reasons, the Broncos would have nailed the eight seed and played at Seattle Pacific, the tourney host.
among the top eight in the region the team with the softest case is chaminade. the pac west has been a weak conference, as evidenced by higher seeded teams almost every year getting beaten. in 2003 for example number one seed BYU got manhandled by eight seed Bakersfield. if you look at the SilverSword record you will see five of their wins against very weak NAIA teams like Cheyney, Cal Baptist and St. John's College. Beating lowly Hawaii Pacific repeatedly hardly inspires much confidence, and blowout losses to Michigan State, Kansas and Maryland at home say little particularly when added to losses to C. Washington and CSUDH.
Fairbanks actually on paper looks stronger than Chaminade and had the Broncos simply played to their ability the Nanooks could/would have been foiled for a bid. They had wins over two DI schools in addition to DII power Tarleton State, a national semifinalist last year, but their schedule also was padded with two wins over somebody called Life Pacific College. On the loss column they had some ugly ones to teams even worse than those CPP lost to, notably St. Martins and Northwest Nazarene, a team the Broncos beat twice this year, and that's where the common opponent points would have given the nod to us.
Though we never will know for sure, consider it in the bank that the Broncos would have been seeded, and that means unranked Fairbanks would have ended up ninth.
This web site, by the way, has been excellent for its discussion this year, far better than last year when our men went 24-7 and the Elite Eight. Maybe next year we actually will have a team worthy of the dance once more.